Events

Oct 31 - Nov 6, 2021

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  Joint modeling of dependent diverse format data: A review from several case-studies

  Giovani Silva, PhD in Mathematics (IST) at the University of Lisbon

  Nov 4, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  his talk reviews some fundamental and practical issues related to the formulation and analysis of joint models of mixed types of outcomes with latent variables, with particular emphasis on both several case-studies in applied statistics and their computational implementation

Oct 24 - Oct 30, 2021

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  Recent progress on symbolic computation for PDE and their numerical schemes

  Diogo Gomes, Program Chair, Applied Mathematics and Computational Sciences

  Oct 28, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  The qualitative study of PDEs often relies on integral identities and inequalities. For example, for time-dependent PDEs, conserved integral quantities or quantities that are dissipated play an important role. In particular, if these integral quantities have a definite sign, they are of great interest as they may provide control on the solutions to establish well-posedness.

Oct 17 - Oct 23, 2021

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  Enabling Accurate and Efficient Simulation in Visual Computing - Graduate Seminar - AMCS - STAT

  Dominik L. Michels, Associate Professor, Computer Science

  Oct 21, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  The overarching goal of Prof. Michels' Computational Sciences Group within KAUST's Visual Computing Center is enabling accurate and efficient simulations for applications in Scientific and Visual Computing. Towards this goal, the group develops new principled computational methods based on solid theoretical foundations.

Oct 10 - Oct 16, 2021

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  Bayesian image analysis in Fourier space (BIFS) models and some relationships with Markov random fields

  Prof. John Kornak, Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco

  Oct 14, 16:30 - 17:45

  B4 B5 A0215

  bayesian analysis

  Abstract For over 30 years, Bayesian image analysis has provided an important pathway to image reconstruction and enhancement, by balancing a priori expectations of image characteristics with a model for the noise process. The conventional Bayesian modeling approach defined in image space implements priors that describe inter-dependence between spatial locations (and can therefore be difficult to model and compute). However, similar models can be developed more conveniently in Fourier transformed space as a large set of independent processes. The originally complex high-dimensional estimation
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  Statistical methods to evaluate the effectiveness of cancer treatments in clinical trials

  Denis Rustand, Postdoctoral Research Fellow, Statistics

  Oct 14, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  Assessing the effectiveness of cancer treatments in clinical trials raises multiple methodological challenges that need to be properly addressed in order to produce a reliable estimate of treatment effects.
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  Parameter Estimation for the McKean-Vlasov Stochastic Differential Equation

  Nikolas Kantas, Associate Professor, Department of Mathematics, Imperial College London

  Oct 13, 15:30 - 16:30

  KAUST

  parameter estimation stochastic differential equations stochastic

  We consider the problem of parameter estimation for a McKean stochastic differential equation, and the associated system of weakly interacting particles. The problem is motivated by many applications in areas such as neuroscience, social sciences (opinion dynamics, cooperative behaviours), financial mathematics, statistical physics. We will first survey some model properties related to propagation of chaos and ergodicity and then move on to discuss the problem of parameter estimation both in offline and on-line settings. In the on-line case, we propose an online estimator, which evolves according to a continuous-time stochastic gradient descent algorithm on the asymptotic log-likelihood of the interacting particle system. The talk will present our convergence results and then show some numerical results for two examples, a linear mean field model and a stochastic opinion dynamics model. This is joint work with Louis Sharrock, Panos Parpas and Greg Pavliotis. Preprint: https://arxiv.org/abs/2106.13751

Oct 3 - Oct 9, 2021

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  Quantifying Uncertainty with a Derivative Tracking SDE Model and Application to Wind Power Forecast Data

  Raul Tempone, Professor, Applied Mathematics and Computational Sciences

  Oct 7, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  We develop a data-driven methodology based on parametric Itô's Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) to capture forecast errors' asymmetric dynamics, including the forecast's uncertainty at time zero.

Sep 26 - Oct 2, 2021

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  Discriminant analysis: Fundamental limits and Optimal designs

  Abla Kammoun, Senior Research Scientist, Electrical and Computer Engineering

  Sep 30, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  Despite the recent advances in big data processing, enabled by the emergence of large-scale machine learning techniques, several statistical questions regarding the behavior in the regime of high dimensions of well-established and fundamental methods have remained unresolved.
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  Randomized multilevel Monte Carlo for inference

  Kody J.H. Law, Professor, Applied Mathematics in the Department of Mathematics, University of Manchester and Manchester Institut

  Sep 29, 13:00 - 14:00

  KAUST

  Often in the context of data centric science and engineering applications, one endeavours to learn complex systems in order to make more informed predictions and high stakes decisions under uncertainty. Some key challenges which must be met in this context are robustness, generalizability, and interpretability.

Sep 12 - Sep 18, 2021

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  Developing Aramco’s Next Generation Operational Systems for the Red Sea and the Arabian Gulf

  Ibrahim Hoteit, Professor, Earth Science and Engineering

  Sep 16, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  The talk will present our efforts to develop the next generation operational systems for the Red Sea and the Arabian Gulf, as part of Aramco’s resolution toward the Fourth Industrial Revolution. These integrated systems, we refer to as iReds and iGulf, have been built around state-of-the-art ocean-atmosphere-wave general circulation models that have been specifically developed for the region and nested within the global weather systems.

Sep 5 - Sep 11, 2021

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  Empirical Risk Minimization in the Non-interactive LDP Model

  Di Wang, Assistant Professor, Computer Science

  Sep 9, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  As a fundamental problem in both machine learning and privacy, Empirical Risk Minimization in the Differential Privacy Model (DP-ERM) received much attentions. However, most of the previous studies are either in the central DP model or interactive LDP model. In this talk, I will discuss some recent developments of DP-ERM in the non-interactive LDP model.

Aug 29 - Sep 4, 2021

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  High-resolution Modeling and Estimation of Extreme Red Sea Surface Temperature Hotspots

  Raphaël Huser, Associate Professor, Statistics

  Sep 2, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  Modeling, estimation and prediction of spatial extremes is key for risk assessment in a wide range of geo-environmental, geo-physical, and climate science applications. In this work, we propose a flexible approach for modeling and estimating extreme sea surface temperature (SST) hotspots, i.e., high threshold exceedance regions, for the whole Red Sea, a vital region of high biodiversity.
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  Sequential Monte Carlo Algorithms for Agent-Based Models of Disease Transmission

  Jeremy Heng, Applied Mathematics and Computational Sciences (AMCS), ESSEC Business School, Singapore

  Sep 1, 13:00 - 14:00

  KAUST

  We consider statistical inference for a class of agent-based SIS and SIR models. In these models, agents infect one another according to random contacts made over a social network, with an infection rate that depends on individual attributes. Infected agents might recover according to another random mechanism that also depends on individual attributes, and observations might involve occasional noisy measurements of the number of infected agents. Likelihood-based inference for such models presents various computational challenges. In this talk, I will present various sequential Monte Carlo algorithms to address these challenges.

Aug 15 - Aug 21, 2021

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  Machine Learning in Healthcare: When Low Sample Size is not a Limitation

  Dr. Ricardo Henao, Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Duke University

  Aug 17, 14:30 - 15:30

  KAUST

  In this talk, I will describe three use cases that highlight present challenges and opportunities for the development of machine learning methodology for applications in healthcare. First, I will describe the development of simple word embedding approaches for bag of-documents classification and its applications to diagnosis of peripheral artery disease from clinical narratives. Second, I will present an approach for volumetric image classification that leverages attention mechanisms, contrastive learning and feature-encoding sharing for geographic atrophy prognosis from optical coherence tomography images. Third, I will discuss machine learning approaches for multi-modal and multi-dataset integration for biomarker discovery from molecular (omics) data. To conclude, I will summarize the contributions and insights in each of these different directions in which relatively low sample sizes are the common denominator.

Jun 6 - Jun 12, 2021

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  Lagrangian Spatio-Temporal Covariance Functions for Multivariate Nonstationary Random Fields

  Mary Lai O. Salvana, Ph.D. Student, Statistics

  Jun 7, 17:00 - 19:00

  KAUST

  In geostatistical analysis, we are faced with the formidable challenge of specifying a valid spatio-temporal covariance function, either directly or through the construction of processes. This task is difficult as these functions should yield positive definite covariance matrices. In recent years, we have seen a flourishing of methods and theories on constructing spatio-temporal covariance functions satisfying the positive definiteness requirement. The current state-of-the-art when modeling environmental processes are those that embed the associated physical laws of the system. The class of Lagrangian spatio-temporal covariance functions fulfills this requirement. Moreover, this class possesses the allure that they turn already established purely spatial covariance functions into spatio-temporal covariance functions by a direct application of the concept of Lagrangian reference frame. In this dissertation, several developments are proposed and new features are provided to this special class.

May 30 - Jun 5, 2021

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  Stationary and Cyclostationary Processes for Time Series and Spatio-Temporal Data

  Soumya Das, Ph.D. Student, Statistics

  Jun 1, 16:00 - 18:00

  KAUST

  Due essentially to the difficulties associated with obtaining explicit forms of stationary marginal distributions of non-linear stationary processes, appropriate characterizations of such processes are worked upon little. After discussing an elaborate motivation behind this thesis and presenting preliminaries in Chapter 1, we characterize, in Chapter 2, the stationary marginal distributions of certain non-linear multivariate stationary processes. To do so, we show that the stationary marginal distributions of these processes belong to specific skew-distribution families, and for a given skew-distribution from the corresponding family, a process, with stationary marginal distribution identical to that given skew-distribution, can be found.
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  Flexible Covariance Models for Spatio-Temporal and Multivariate Spatial Random Fields

  Ghulam A. Qadir, Ph.D. Student, Statistics

  May 31, 16:00 - 18:00

  KAUST

  The modeling of spatio-temporal and multivariate spatial random fields has been an important and growing area of research due to the increasing availability of space-time-referenced data in a large number of scientific applications. In geostatistics, the covariance function plays a crucial role in describing the spatio-temporal dependence in the data and is key to statistical modeling, inference, stochastic simulation, and prediction. Therefore, the development of flexible covariance models, which can accommodate the inherent variability of the real data, is necessary for advantageous modeling of random fields. This thesis is composed of four significant contributions in the development and applications of new covariance models for stationary multivariate spatial processes, and nonstationary spatial and spatio-temporal processes. Firstly, this thesis proposes a semiparametric approach for multivariate covariance function estimation with flexible specification of the cross-covariance functions via their spectral representations. The flexibility in the proposed cross-covariance function arises due to B-spline based specification of the underlying coherence functions, which in turn allows for capturing non-trivial cross-spectral features. The proposed method is applied to model and predict the bivariate data of particulate matter concentration and wind speed in the United States. Secondly, this thesis introduces a parametric class of multivariate covariance functions with asymmetric cross-covariance functions. The proposed covariance model is applied to analyze the asymmetry and perform prediction in a trivariate data of particulate matter concentration, wind speed and relative humidity in the United States.
 Thirdly, the thesis presents a space deformation method which imparts nonstationarity to any stationary covariance function. The proposed method utilizes the functional data registration algorithm and classical multidimensional scaling to estimate the spatial deformation. The application of the proposed method is demonstrated on precipitation data from Colorado, United States. Finally, this thesis proposes a parametric class of time-varying spatio-temporal covariance functions, which are stationary in space but nonstationary in time. The proposed time-varying spatio-temporal covariance model is applied to study the seasonality effect and perform space-time predictions in the daily particulate matter concentration data from Oregon, United States.

May 2 - May 8, 2021

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  Scalable Solvers: Universals and Innovations

  David Keyes, Senior Associate to the President, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology

  May 6, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  Abstract As simulation and analytics enter the exascale era, numerical algorithms must span a widening gap between ambitious applications and austere architectures. We present fifteen universals for researchers in scalable solvers and some innovations that allow approaching lin-log complexity in storage and operation count in many important algorithmic kernels. Applications are becoming ambitious in many senses: large physical space, phase space or parameter dimensions; resolution of many scales of space and/or time; high fidelity physical modeling; linking together of multiple complex models

Apr 25 - May 1, 2021

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  The Role of Volcanic Activity in Climate and Global Change

  Georgiy L. Stenchikov, Professor, Earth Science and Engineering

  Apr 29, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  Explosive volcanic eruptions are magnificent events that in many ways affect the Earth’s natural processes and climate. They cause sporadic perturbations of the planet’s energy balance, activating complex climate feedbacks and providing unique opportunities to better quantify those processes. We know that explosive eruptions cause cooling in the atmosphere for a few years, but we have just recently realized that they affect the major climate variability modes and volcanic signals can be seen in the subsurface ocean for decades. The volcanic forcing of the previous two centuries offsets the ocean heat uptake and diminishes global warming by about 30%. In the future, explosive volcanism could slightly delay the pace of global warming and has to be accounted for in long-term climate predictions. The recent interest in dynamic, microphysical, chemical and climate impacts of volcanic eruptions is also excited by the fact these impacts provide a natural analog for climate geoengineering schemes involving the deliberate development of an artificial aerosol layer in the lower stratosphere to counteract global warming. In this talk, I will discuss these recently discovered volcanic effects and specifically pay attention to how we can learn about the hidden Earth-system mechanisms activated by explosive volcanic eruptions.
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  Design and Analysis of Prevalence Surveys for Neglected Tropical Diseases

  Prof. Peter Diggle, Statistics in the faculty of Health and Medicine, Lancaster University

  Apr 27, 15:00 - 16:30

  KAUST

  Design and analysis of surveys

  In low-resource settings, disease registries do not exist, and prevalence mapping relies on data collected form surveys of disease prevalence taken in a sample of the communities at risk within the region of interest, possibly supplemented by remotely sensed images that can act as proxies for environmental risk factors. A standard geostatistical model for data of this kind is a generalized linear mixed model, Yᵢ ~ Binomial(mᵢ; P(xᵢ)) log [P(x)/{(1- P(xᵢ)}] = d(x)β + S(x), where Yᵢ is the number of positives in a sample of mi individuals at location xᵢ, d(x) is a vector of spatially referenced explanatory variables available at any location x within the region of interest, and S(x) is a Gaussian process. In this talk, I will first review statistical methods and software associated with this standard model, then consider several methodological extensions and their applications to some Africa-wide control programmes for Neglected Tropical Diseases to demonstrate the very substantial gains in efficiency that can be obtained by comparison with currently used methods.

Apr 18 - Apr 24, 2021

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  Distributed second order methods with fast rates and compressed communication

  Peter Richtarik, Professor, Computer Science

  Apr 22, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  We develop several new communication-efficient second-order methods for distributed optimization. Our first method, NEWTON-STAR, is a variant of Newton's method from which it inherits its fast local quadratic rate. However, unlike Newton's method, NEWTON-STAR enjoys the same per iteration communication cost as gradient descent. While this method is impractical as it relies on the use of certain unknown parameters characterizing the Hessian of the objective function at the optimum, it serves as the starting point which enables us to design practical variants thereof with strong theoretical guarantees. In particular, we design a stochastic sparsification strategy for learning the unknown parameters in an iterative fashion in a communication efficient manner. Applying this strategy to NEWTON-STAR leads to our next method, NEWTON-LEARN, for which we prove local linear and superlinear rates independent of the condition number. When applicable, this method can have dramatically superior convergence behavior when compared to state-of-the-art methods. Finally, we develop a globalization strategy using cubic regularization which leads to our next method, CUBIC-NEWTON-LEARN, for which we prove global sublinear and linear convergence rates, and a fast superlinear rate. Our results are supported with experimental results on real datasets, and show several orders of magnitude improvement on baseline and state-of-the-art methods in terms of communication complexity.

Apr 4 - Apr 10, 2021

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  A Rapid, Accurate and Machine-agnostic Segmentation and Quantification Method for CT-based COVID-19 Diagnosis

  Xin Gao, Program Chair, Computer Science

  Apr 8, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  COVID-19

  COVID-19 has caused a global pandemic and become the most urgent threat to the entire world. Tremendous efforts and resources have been invested in developing diagnosis. Despite the various, urgent advances in developing artificial intelligence (AI)-based computer-aided systems for CT-based COVID-19 diagnosis, most of the existing methods can only perform classification, whereas the state-of-the-art segmentation method requires a high level of human intervention. In this talk, I will introduce our recent work on a fully-automatic, rapid, accurate, and machine-agnostic method that can segment and quantify the infection regions on CT scans from different sources. Our method is founded upon three innovations: 1) an embedding method that projects any arbitrary CT scan to a same, standard space, so that the trained model becomes robust and generalizable; 2) the first CT scan simulator for COVID-19, by fitting the dynamic change of real patients’ data measured at different time points, which greatly alleviates the data scarcity issue; and 3) a novel deep learning algorithm to solve the large-scene-small-object problem, which decomposes the 3D segmentation problem into three 2D ones, and thus reduces the model complexity by an order of magnitude and, at the same time, significantly improves the segmentation accuracy. Comprehensive experimental results over multi-country, multi-hospital, and multi-machine datasets demonstrate the superior performance of our method over the existing ones and suggest its important application value in combating the disease.

Mar 28 - Apr 3, 2021

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  Waves Functional Materials - 2021-04-01

  Ying Wu, Professor, Applied Mathematics and Computational Sciences

  Apr 1, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  Wave functional materials are artificial materials that can control wave propagation as wish. In this talk, I will give a brief review on the progress of wave functional materials and reveal the secret behind the engineering of these materials to achieve desired properties. In particular, I will focus on our contributions on metamaterials and metasurfaces. I will introduce the development of effective medium, a powerful tool in modeling wave functional materials, followed by some illustrative examples demonstrating the intriguing properties, such as redirection, emission rate enhancement, wave steering and cloaking.

Mar 21 - Mar 27, 2021

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  The Convex Gaussian Min-Max Theorem: A Powerful Tool for the Analysis of Regularized Convex Optimization Problems

  Tareq Al-Naffouri, Professor, Electrical and Computer Engineering

  Mar 25, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  In modern large-scale inference problems, the dimension of the signal to be estimated is comparable or even larger than the number of available observations. Yet the signal of interest lies in some low-dimensional structure, due to sparsity, low-rankness, finite alphabet, ... etc. Non-smooth regularized convex optimization are powerful tools for the recovery of such structured signals from noisy linear measurements. Research has shifted recently to the performance analysis of these optimization tools and optimal turning of their hyper-parameters in high dimensional settings. One powerful performance analysis framework is the Convex Gaussian Min-max Theorem (CGMT). The CGMT is based on Gaussian process methods and is a strong and tight version of the classical Gordon comparison inequality. In this talk, we review the CGMT and illustrate its application to the error analysis of some convex regularized optimization problems.

Mar 14 - Mar 20, 2021

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  On Discovering Nature’s Equations from Observations

  Jesper Tegner, Professor, BESE Division, KAUST

  Mar 18, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  In essence, science is about discovering regularities in Nature. It turns out that such regularities (laws) are written in the language of mathematics. In many cases, such laws are formulated and refined from fundamental “first principles.” Yet, in phenomenological areas such as biology, we have an abundance of data but lack “first principles.” Machine learning and deep learning, in particular, are remarkably successful in classification and prediction tasks. However, such systems, when trained on data, do not, as a rule, provide compact mathematical laws or fundamental first principles. Here we ask how we can identify interpretable compact mathematical laws from complex data-sets when we don’t have access to first principles. I will give an overview of this problem and provide some vignettes of our ongoing work in attacking this problem.

Mar 7 - Mar 13, 2021

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  Programming curvature into flat sheets

  Mar 11, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  Small-scale cut and fold patterns imposed on sheet material enable its morphing into three-dimensional shapes. This manufacturing paradigm has received much attention in recent years and poses challenges in both fabrication and computation. It is intimately connected with the interpretation of patterned sheets as mechanical metamaterials, typically of negative Poisson ratio. We discuss a fundamental geometric question, namely the targeted programming of a shape morph from a flat sheet to a curved surface, or even between any two shapes. The solution draws on differential geometry, discrete differential geometry, geometry processing and geometric optimization.
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  Analysis of the compressible two-phase flow

  Dr. Ewelina Zatorska, Senior Lecturer in the Applied and Numerical Analysis, Imperial College London

  Mar 9, 15:00 - 16:00

  KAUST

  In this talk, I will present the recent developments in the topic of the existence of solutions to the two-fluid systems. The compensated compactness technique of P.-L. Lions and E. Feireisl for single-component fluids has certain limitations, distinctly in the context of multi-component flow models. A particular example of such a model is the two-fluids Stokes system with a single velocity field and two densities, and with an algebraic pressure law closure. The first result that I will present is the existence of weak solutions for such a system, using the compactness criterion introduced recently by D. Bresch and P.-E. Jabin. I will also outline an innovative construction of solutions relying on the G. Crippa and C. DeLellis stability estimates for the transport equation. In the last part of my talk, I will relate to a couple of more recent results: the existence of solutions to the one-dimensional system, non-uniqueness of solutions to the inviscid system, and I will comment on issues around weak-strong uniqueness.

Feb 21 - Feb 27, 2021

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  On Adversarial Network Attacks, Robustness, and Certification

  Bernard Ghanem, Professor, Electrical and Computer Engineering

  Feb 25, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  Abstract The outstanding performance of deep neural networks (DNNs), for visual recognition tasks in particular, has been demonstrated on many large-scale benchmarks. This performance has immensely strengthened the line of research that aims to understand and analyze the driving reasons behind the effectiveness of these networks. One important aspect of this analysis has gained much attention, namely the sensitivity of a DNN to perturbations. This has spawned a thrust in the research community, which focuses on developing adversarial attacks that fool a DNN, training strategies that make DNNs

Feb 14 - Feb 20, 2021

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  Forward-prediction and Backward-design by Machine Learning

  Prof. Xiangliang Zhang

  Feb 18, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  Machine learning has been widely applied to diverse problems of forwarding prediction and backward design. The former problem of forwarding prediction is to predict the reaction of a system given the input x, i.e., y=f(x). This talk will introduce several groups of algorithms for learning the prediction function f. The backward design is an inverse problem, predicting the input x according to the system reaction y, i.e., x=g(y). This is an important problem for the design of chemical material and optical devices. This talk will introduce several successful application examples of machine learning algorithms on the backward design problems.
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  High-dimensional inference for max-stable processes

  Dr. Boris Beranger, Lecturer in Statistics, University of New South Wales, Sydney

  Feb 16, 11:00 - 12:00

  KAUST

  extreme environmental events Max-stable processes

  Droughts, high temperatures and strong winds are key causes of the recent bushfires that have touched a major part of the Australian territory. Such extreme events seem to appear with increasing frequency, creating an urgent need to better understand the behavior of extreme environmental phenomena.

Feb 7 - Feb 13, 2021

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  Proper scoring rules and model selection for stochastic processes

  David Bolin, Professor, Statistics

  Feb 11, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  In this talk, we begin by a brief introduction to proper scoring rules and their use in statistics. Then, we discuss an often overlooked problem: the up-weighting of observations with large uncertainty, which can lead to unintuitive rankings of models, by some of the most popular proper scoring rules, such as the continuously ranked probability score (CRPS), the MAE, and the MSE.
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  Statistical models for studying biodiversity: challenges and contributions

  Antik Chakraborty, Postdoc, Department of Statistical Science, Duke University

  Feb 7, 16:00 - 17:00

  KAUST

  biodiversity

  A healthy ecosystem is essential to our well being and to ensure that we need a better understanding of the life or biodiversity around us. In the first part of this talk, I will introduce how modern technology is being used to collect data on biodiversity across space and time. These data come in complex forms such as DNA sequences, high-dimensional binary vectors, sound signals, etc. I will briefly touch upon the statistical challenges involved in making sense of these data. In the second part, I will elaborate on a project motivated by studying temporal patterns in bird vocalizations. I will introduce a new class of semiparametric latent variable models for long memory discretized event data. The proposed class of FRActional Probit (FRAP) models are based on the thresholding of a latent process consisting of an additive expansion of a smooth Gaussian process with a fractional Brownian motion. I will describe a Bayesian approach to inference using Markov chain Monte Carlo. Results from applying the model on Amazon bird vocalization data will be presented which provide substantial evidence for self-similarity and non-Markovian/Poisson dynamics. A hierarchical extension of the proposed model to accommodate vocalizations of multiple birds at the same time will also be discussed.

Jan 31 - Feb 6, 2021

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  Effective Literature Search

  Nevena Tomic, Library Subject Specialist, PSE, KAUST

  Feb 4, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  This session will help you to improve the efficiency of your literature searches. You will learn basic search techniques – using Boolean operators, keyword search, concept search, truncation, etc. Two major interdisciplinary scientific databases – Web of Science and Scopus, as well as CEMSE specific resources in KAUST library collections will be presented.

Jan 24 - Jan 30, 2021

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  A personal and historical view of computational mathematics

  Tony Chan, President, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology

  Jan 28, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  Computational mathematics has a millennium long history but its modern incarnation started after the advent of electronic computers about 80 years ago. Scientifically, it lies in the intersection between mathematics, a subject with a long history, and computer sciences, a relatively new discipline. Its motivations, approaches and practitioners have derived from different fields, and it has also had to evolve and adapt to new tools and opportunities. My own scientific career overlaps quite a bit with the field’s modern evolution and in this talk, I’ll give a personal, as well as a “historical” view of the field.

Dec 6 - Dec 12, 2020

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  Geospatial Data Science for Public Health Surveillance - Graduate Seminar

  Dec 10, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  Geospatial health data are essential to inform public health and policy. These data can be used to quantify disease burden, understand geographic and temporal patterns, identify risk factors, and measure inequalities. In this talk, I will give an overview of my research which focuses on the development of geospatial methods and interactive visualization applications for health surveillance. I will present disease risk models where environmental, demographic and climatic data are used to predict the risk and identify targets for intervention of lymphatic filariasis in sub-Saharan Africa, and leptospirosis in a Brazilian urban slum. I will also show the R packages epiflows for risk assessment of travel-related spread of disease, and SpatialEpiApp for disease mapping and the detection of clusters. Finally, I will describe my future research and how it can inform better surveillance and improve population health globally.

Nov 29 - Dec 5, 2020

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  Modelling and Simulation of Biological Systems - 2020-12-03

  Gabriel Wittum, Professor, Applied Mathematics and Computational Sciences

  Dec 3, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  Biological systems are distinguished by their enormous complexity and variability. That is why mathematical modeling and computational simulation of those systems is very difficult, in particular thinking of detailed models which are based on first principles. The difficulties start with geometric modeling which needs to extract basic structures from highly complex and variable phenotypes, on the other hand also has to take the statistic variability into account. Moreover, the models of the processes running on these geometries are not yet well established, since these are equally complex and often couple many scales in space and time. Thus, simulating such systems always means to put the whole frame to test, from modelling to the numerical methods and software tools used for simulation. These need to be advanced in connection with validating simulation results by comparing them to experiments.
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  Transparent and Robust Causal Inference in Data Science

  Carlos Cinelli, Ph.D. candidate, Department of Statistics, UCLA

  Nov 30, 16:30 - 17:30

  KAUST

  statistical inference data science

  The past few decades have witnessed rapid and unprecedented theoretical progress in the science of causal inference, ranging from the “credibility revolution” with the popularization of quasi-experimental designs, to the development of a complete solution to non-parametric identification with causal graphical models. Most of these theoretical progress, however, relies on strong, exact assumptions, such as the absence of unobserved common causes, or the absence of certain direct effects. Unfortunately, more often than not these assumptions are very hard to defend in practice. This leads to two undesirable consequences for applied quantitative work in the data-intensive sciences: (i) important research questions may be neglected, simply because they do not exactly match the requirements of current methods; or, (ii) researchers may succumb to making the required “identification assumptions” simply to justify the use of available methods, but not because these assumptions are truly believed (or understood). In this talk, I will discuss new theories, methods, and software for permitting causal inferences under more flexible and realistic settings. These tools empower scientists, and policymakers to both examine the sensitivity of causal inferences to violations of its underlying assumptions, and also to draw robust and trustworthy conclusions from settings in which traditional methods fail.

Nov 22 - Nov 28, 2020

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  BICNet: A Bayesian Approach for Estimating Task Effects on Intrinsic Connectivity Networks in fMRI Data

  Meini Tang, M.S. Student, Statistics

  Nov 24, 09:00 - 10:00

  KAUST

  Intrinsic connectivity networks (ICNs) refer to brain functional networks that are consistently found under various conditions, during tasks or at rest. Some studies demonstrated that while some stimuli do not impact intrinsic connectivity, other stimuli actually activate intrinsic connectivity through suppression, excitation, moderation or modification. Most analyses of fMRI data use ad-hoc methods to estimate the latent structure of ICNs. Modeling the effects on ICNs has also not been fully investigated. We propose a Bayesian Intrinsic Connectivity Network (BICNet) model, an extended Bayesian dynamic sparse latent factor model, to identify the ICNs and quantify task-related effects on the ICNs. BICNet has the following advantages: (1) It simultaneously identifies the individual and group-level ICNs; (2) It robustly identifies ICNs by jointly modeling rfMRI and tfMRI; (3) Compared to ICA-based methods, it can quantify the difference of ICN amplitudes across different states; (4) The sparsity of ICNs automatically performs feature selection, instead of ad-hoc thresholding. We apply BICNet to the rfMRI and language tfMRI data from the HCP and identify several ICNs related to distinct language processing functions.

Nov 15 - Nov 21, 2020

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  On Unbiased Estimation of the Score Function for a Class of Partially Observed Diffusions

  Nov 19, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  In this talk we consider the problem of estimating the score function (or gradient of the log-likelihood) associated to a class of partially observed diffusion processes, with discretely observed, fixed length, data and finite dimensional parameters. We construct an estimator that is unbiased with no time-discretization bias. Using a simple Girsanov change of measure method to represent the score function, our methodology can be used for a wide class of diffusion processes and requires only access to a time-discretization method such as Euler-Maruyama. Our approach is based upon a novel adaptation of the randomization schemes developed by Glynn and co-authors along with a new coupled Markov chain simulation scheme. The latter methodology is an original type of coupling of the coupled conditional particle filter. We prove that our estimator is unbiased and of finite variance. We then illustrate our methodology on several challenging statistical examples. This is a joint work with Jeremy Heng (ESSEC, Singapore) and Jeremie Houssineau (Warwick, UK)
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  Start your Research Journey at KAUST - Master and Ph.D. degrees in Applied Mathematics, Computer Science, Electrical Engineering and Statistics

  Aigars Ekers, Dean, University of Latvia, Faculty of Science and Technology

  Nov 18, 16:00 - 17:00

  KAUST

  Did you know that courses are taught in English at KAUST? Did you know that the faculty and students are from more than 100 countries? Did you know that you will be fully funded when studying at KAUST? What you will learn from this webinar: Life at KAUST: What are KAUST and CEMSE? Degrees and Academic Programs Research Areas and Lab Facilities Eligibility and Admission Requirements KAUST Fellowship: Benefits of studying at KAUST How to Apply?

Nov 8 - Nov 14, 2020

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  Optimization applied to energy systems, autonomous vehicles, and matching

  Ricardo Manuel Pinto de Lima, Research Scientist, Applied Mathematics and Computational Sciences

  Nov 12, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  In this talk, we start by introducing optimization and interesting optimization applications. We review some optimization formulations and focus on applications studied in our research, such as energy systems, and trajectory planning of autonomous underwater vehicles. After the introduction, we address the self-scheduling and market involvement of a virtual power plant using adaptive robust optimization under uncertainty in the wind speed and electricity prices.
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  Quantile Function Modeling and Analysis for Multivariate Functional Data

  Gaurav Agarwal, Ph.D., Statistics

  Nov 9, 16:00 - 18:00

  KAUST

  This thesis presents a set of quantile analysis methods for multivariate data and multivariate functional data, with an emphasis on environmental applications, and consists of four significant contributions.

Nov 1 - Nov 7, 2020

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  Exploring Non-Linear Interactions in Multivariate Time Series

  Hernando Ombao, Professor, Statistics

  Nov 5, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  Linear Multivariate extremes Bayesian computational statistics

  Advances in imaging technology have given neuroscientists unprecedented access to examine various facets of how the brain “works”. Brain activity is complex. A full understanding of brain activity requires careful study of its multi-scale spatial-temporal organization (from neurons to regions of interest; and from transient events to long-term temporal dynamics). Motivated by these challenges, we will explore some characterizations of dependence between components of a multivariate time series and then apply these to the study of brain functional connectivity.
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  Spatio-Temporal Prediction and Stochastic Simulation for Large-Scale Nonstationary Processes

  Yuxiao Li, Ph.D., Statistics

  Nov 2, 16:00 - 18:00

  KAUST

  Environmental statistics plays an important role in many related applications, such as weather-related risk assessment for urban design and crop growth. However, modeling the spatio-temporal dynamics of environmental data is challenging due to their inherent high variability and nonstationarity. This dissertation focuses on the modeling, simulation, and prediction of spatio-temporal processes using statistical techniques and machine learning algorithms, especially for nonstationary processes.

Oct 25 - Oct 31, 2020

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  On the approximation of the spectrum of differential operators

  Daniele Boffi, Associate Dean for Faculty, Computer, Electrical and Mathematical Sciences and Engineering

  Oct 29, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  Eigenvalue problems associated with partial differential equations are key ingredients for the modeling and simulation of a variety of real world applications, ranging from fluid-dynamics, structural mechanics, acoustics, to electromagnetism and medical problems. We review some properties related to the approximation of eigenvalue problems. Starting from matrix algebraic problems, we present a series of examples and counterexamples showing that even extremely simple situations can produce unexpected results.
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  Spatio-Temporal Statistical Modeling with Application to Wind Energy Assessment in Saudi Arabia

  Wanfang Chen, Ph.D., Statistics

  Oct 26, 15:00 - 17:00

  KAUST

  In this thesis, I firstly provide a comprehensive assessment of wind energy resources and associated spatio-temporal patterns over Saudi Arabia in both current and future climate conditions, based on a Regional Climate Model output. A high wind energy potential exists and is likely to persist at least until 2050 over a vast area of Western Saudi Arabia, particularly in the region between Medina and the Red Sea coast and during Summer months. Since an accurate assessment of wind extremes is crucial for risk management purposes, I then present the first high-resolution risk assessment of wind extremes over Saudi Arabia.

Oct 18 - Oct 24, 2020

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  Efficiency Assessment of Approximated Spatial Predictions for Large Datasets

  Yiping Hong, Postdoctoral Research Fellow, Statistics

  Oct 22, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  mathematics applied statistics Social Network Analysis

  Our suggested criteria are more useful for the determination of tuning parameters for sophisticated approximation methods of spatial model fitting. To illustrate this, we investigate the trade-off between the execution time, estimation accuracy, and prediction efficiency for the TLR method with intensive simulation studies and suggest proper settings of the TLR tuning parameters.

Oct 11 - Oct 17, 2020

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  Epidemiological modeling and optimal control

  David Ketcheson, Professor, Applied Mathematics and Computational Sciences

  Oct 15, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  optimal control optimal control theory

  Compartmental epidemiological models are one of the simplest models for the spread of a disease. They are based on statistical models of interactions in large populations and can be effective in the appropriate circumstances. Their application historically and in the present pandemic has sometimes been successful and sometimes spectacularly wrong. In this talk I will review some of these models and their application. I will also discuss the behavior of the corresponding dynamical systems, and discuss how the theory of optimal control can be applied to them. I will describe some of the challenges in using such a theory to make decisions about public policy.

Oct 4 - Oct 10, 2020

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  ExaGeoStat: Moving Towards Large-Scale Geostatistical Modeling on Manycore Systems

  Sameh Abdulah, Sameh Abdulah > Appointments, Roles and Affiliations, Hierarchical Computations on Manycore Architectures

  Oct 8, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  Adaptive modeling

  We present Exascale GeoStatistics (ExaGeoStat) software, a high-performance library implemented on a wide variety of contemporary hybrid distributed-shared supercomputers whose primary target is climate and environmental prediction applications.

Sep 27 - Oct 3, 2020

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  Consensus formation models with delay

  Jan Haskovec, AMCS, KAUST

  Oct 1, 12:00 - 13:00

  KAUST

  Models Formation

  Individual-based models of collective behavior represent a very active research field with applications in physics (spontaneous magnetization), biology (flocking and swarming) and social sciences (opinion formation). They are also a hot topic engineering (swarm robotics). A particularly interesting aspect of the dynamics of multi-agent systems is the emergence of global self-organized patterns, while individuals typically interact only on short scales. In this talk I shall discuss the impact of delay on asymptotic consensus formation in Hegselmann-Krause-type models, where agents adapt their „opinions“ (in broad sense) to the ones of their close neighbors. We shall understand the two principial types/sources of delay - information propagation and processing - and explain their qualitatively different impacts on the consensus dynamics. We then discuss various mathematical methods that provide asymptotic consensus results in the respective settings: Lyapunov functional-type approach, direct estimates, convexity arguments and forward-backward estimates.